Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 7:56 AM, 10 voters in 7 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 51,278 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 38,318 - 61,194). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 7:56 AM | 752 |
c(2.5% = 464)
|
c(97.5% = 891)
|
| 02 | 7:56 AM | 1185 |
c(2.5% = 732)
|
c(97.5% = 1376)
|
| 03 | 7:56 AM | 770 |
c(2.5% = 566)
|
c(97.5% = 999)
|
| 04 | 7:56 AM | 709 |
c(2.5% = 502)
|
c(97.5% = 981)
|
| 05 | 7:56 AM | 1493 |
c(2.5% = 968)
|
c(97.5% = 1707)
|
| 06 | 7:56 AM | 479 |
c(2.5% = 381)
|
c(97.5% = 577)
|
| 07 | 7:56 AM | 269 |
c(2.5% = 131)
|
c(97.5% = 702)
|
| 08 | 7:56 AM | 1641 |
c(2.5% = 1028)
|
c(97.5% = 1954)
|
| 09 | 7:56 AM | 1062 |
c(2.5% = 615)
|
c(97.5% = 1320)
|
| 10 | 7:56 AM | 1133 |
c(2.5% = 873)
|
c(97.5% = 1385)
|
| 11 | 7:56 AM | 471 |
c(2.5% = 318)
|
c(97.5% = 689)
|
| 12 | 7:56 AM | 789 |
c(2.5% = 594)
|
c(97.5% = 1020)
|
| 13 | 7:56 AM | 724 |
c(2.5% = 522)
|
c(97.5% = 980)
|
| 14 | 7:56 AM | 298 |
c(2.5% = 235)
|
c(97.5% = 343)
|
| 15 | 7:56 AM | 963 |
c(2.5% = 597)
|
c(97.5% = 1137)
|
| 16 | 7:56 AM | 373 |
c(2.5% = 240)
|
c(97.5% = 589)
|
| 17 | 7:56 AM | 916 |
c(2.5% = 667)
|
c(97.5% = 1207)
|
| 18 | 7:56 AM | 571 |
c(2.5% = 394)
|
c(97.5% = 627)
|
| 19 | 7:56 AM | 275 |
c(2.5% = 146)
|
c(97.5% = 597)
|
| 20 | 7:56 AM | 251 |
c(2.5% = 183)
|
c(97.5% = 367)
|
| 21 | 7:56 AM | 1774 |
c(2.5% = 1226)
|
c(97.5% = 2000)
|
| 22 | 7:56 AM | 1365 |
c(2.5% = 891)
|
c(97.5% = 1597)
|
| 23 | 7:56 AM | 548 |
c(2.5% = 395)
|
c(97.5% = 756)
|
| 24 | 7:56 AM | 437 |
c(2.5% = 334)
|
c(97.5% = 533)
|
| 25 | 7:56 AM | 420 |
c(2.5% = 287)
|
c(97.5% = 585)
|
| 26 | 7:56 AM | 693 |
c(2.5% = 472)
|
c(97.5% = 796)
|
| 27 | 7:56 AM | 488 |
c(2.5% = 339)
|
c(97.5% = 557)
|
| 28 | 7:56 AM | 407 |
c(2.5% = 260)
|
c(97.5% = 646)
|
| 29 | 7:56 AM | 414 |
c(2.5% = 321)
|
c(97.5% = 518)
|
| 30 | 7:56 AM | 775 |
c(2.5% = 514)
|
c(97.5% = 868)
|
| 31 | 7:56 AM | 546 |
c(2.5% = 354)
|
c(97.5% = 627)
|
| 32 | 7:56 AM | 603 |
c(2.5% = 403)
|
c(97.5% = 914)
|
| 33 | 7:56 AM | 323 |
c(2.5% = 177)
|
c(97.5% = 693)
|
| 34 | 7:56 AM | 1503 |
c(2.5% = 1168)
|
c(97.5% = 1747)
|
| 35 | 7:56 AM | 756 |
c(2.5% = 543)
|
c(97.5% = 1058)
|
| 36 | 7:56 AM | 1089 |
c(2.5% = 861)
|
c(97.5% = 1243)
|
| 37 | 7:56 AM | 392 |
c(2.5% = 251)
|
c(97.5% = 635)
|
| 38 | 7:56 AM | 727 |
c(2.5% = 550)
|
c(97.5% = 833)
|
| 39 | 7:56 AM | 1461 |
c(2.5% = 951)
|
c(97.5% = 1772)
|
| 40 | 7:56 AM | 1226 |
c(2.5% = 951)
|
c(97.5% = 1533)
|
| 41 | 7:56 AM | 530 |
c(2.5% = 347)
|
c(97.5% = 793)
|
| 42 | 7:56 AM | 534 |
c(2.5% = 352)
|
c(97.5% = 870)
|
| 43 | 7:56 AM | 427 |
c(2.5% = 255)
|
c(97.5% = 807)
|
| 44 | 7:56 AM | 473 |
c(2.5% = 336)
|
c(97.5% = 654)
|
| 45 | 7:56 AM | 560 |
c(2.5% = 383)
|
c(97.5% = 745)
|
| 46 | 7:56 AM | 975 |
c(2.5% = 686)
|
c(97.5% = 1080)
|
| 47 | 7:56 AM | 226 |
c(2.5% = 174)
|
c(97.5% = 293)
|
| 48 | 7:56 AM | 547 |
c(2.5% = 415)
|
c(97.5% = 674)
|
| 49 | 7:56 AM | 788 |
c(2.5% = 578)
|
c(97.5% = 1065)
|
| 50 | 7:56 AM | 1457 |
c(2.5% = 1031)
|
c(97.5% = 1633)
|
| 51 | 7:56 AM | 769 |
c(2.5% = 570)
|
c(97.5% = 1026)
|
| 52 | 7:56 AM | 1144 |
c(2.5% = 826)
|
c(97.5% = 1310)
|
| 53 | 7:56 AM | 552 |
c(2.5% = 378)
|
c(97.5% = 797)
|
| 54 | 7:56 AM | 352 |
c(2.5% = 222)
|
c(97.5% = 592)
|
| 55 | 7:56 AM | 745 |
c(2.5% = 488)
|
c(97.5% = 1107)
|
| 56 | 7:56 AM | 1108 |
c(2.5% = 744)
|
c(97.5% = 1441)
|
| 57 | 7:56 AM | 885 |
c(2.5% = 608)
|
c(97.5% = 1074)
|
| 58 | 7:56 AM | 1439 |
c(2.5% = 978)
|
c(97.5% = 1782)
|
| 59 | 7:56 AM | 854 |
c(2.5% = 666)
|
c(97.5% = 1039)
|
| 60 | 7:56 AM | 699 |
c(2.5% = 535)
|
c(97.5% = 877)
|
| 61 | 7:56 AM | 820 |
c(2.5% = 641)
|
c(97.5% = 1040)
|
| 62 | 7:56 AM | 580 |
c(2.5% = 379)
|
c(97.5% = 924)
|
| 63 | 7:56 AM | 962 |
c(2.5% = 661)
|
c(97.5% = 1110)
|
| 64 | 7:56 AM | 519 |
c(2.5% = 352)
|
c(97.5% = 723)
|
| 65 | 7:56 AM | 765 |
c(2.5% = 520)
|
c(97.5% = 917)
|
| 66 | 7:56 AM | 1493 |
c(2.5% = 1047)
|
c(97.5% = 1792)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions