Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 7:56 AM, 10 voters in 7 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 51,278 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 38,318 - 61,194). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 7:56 AM 752 c(2.5% = 464) c(97.5% = 891)
02 7:56 AM 1185 c(2.5% = 732) c(97.5% = 1376)
03 7:56 AM 770 c(2.5% = 566) c(97.5% = 999)
04 7:56 AM 709 c(2.5% = 502) c(97.5% = 981)
05 7:56 AM 1493 c(2.5% = 968) c(97.5% = 1707)
06 7:56 AM 479 c(2.5% = 381) c(97.5% = 577)
07 7:56 AM 269 c(2.5% = 131) c(97.5% = 702)
08 7:56 AM 1641 c(2.5% = 1028) c(97.5% = 1954)
09 7:56 AM 1062 c(2.5% = 615) c(97.5% = 1320)
10 7:56 AM 1133 c(2.5% = 873) c(97.5% = 1385)
11 7:56 AM 471 c(2.5% = 318) c(97.5% = 689)
12 7:56 AM 789 c(2.5% = 594) c(97.5% = 1020)
13 7:56 AM 724 c(2.5% = 522) c(97.5% = 980)
14 7:56 AM 298 c(2.5% = 235) c(97.5% = 343)
15 7:56 AM 963 c(2.5% = 597) c(97.5% = 1137)
16 7:56 AM 373 c(2.5% = 240) c(97.5% = 589)
17 7:56 AM 916 c(2.5% = 667) c(97.5% = 1207)
18 7:56 AM 571 c(2.5% = 394) c(97.5% = 627)
19 7:56 AM 275 c(2.5% = 146) c(97.5% = 597)
20 7:56 AM 251 c(2.5% = 183) c(97.5% = 367)
21 7:56 AM 1774 c(2.5% = 1226) c(97.5% = 2000)
22 7:56 AM 1365 c(2.5% = 891) c(97.5% = 1597)
23 7:56 AM 548 c(2.5% = 395) c(97.5% = 756)
24 7:56 AM 437 c(2.5% = 334) c(97.5% = 533)
25 7:56 AM 420 c(2.5% = 287) c(97.5% = 585)
26 7:56 AM 693 c(2.5% = 472) c(97.5% = 796)
27 7:56 AM 488 c(2.5% = 339) c(97.5% = 557)
28 7:56 AM 407 c(2.5% = 260) c(97.5% = 646)
29 7:56 AM 414 c(2.5% = 321) c(97.5% = 518)
30 7:56 AM 775 c(2.5% = 514) c(97.5% = 868)
31 7:56 AM 546 c(2.5% = 354) c(97.5% = 627)
32 7:56 AM 603 c(2.5% = 403) c(97.5% = 914)
33 7:56 AM 323 c(2.5% = 177) c(97.5% = 693)
34 7:56 AM 1503 c(2.5% = 1168) c(97.5% = 1747)
35 7:56 AM 756 c(2.5% = 543) c(97.5% = 1058)
36 7:56 AM 1089 c(2.5% = 861) c(97.5% = 1243)
37 7:56 AM 392 c(2.5% = 251) c(97.5% = 635)
38 7:56 AM 727 c(2.5% = 550) c(97.5% = 833)
39 7:56 AM 1461 c(2.5% = 951) c(97.5% = 1772)
40 7:56 AM 1226 c(2.5% = 951) c(97.5% = 1533)
41 7:56 AM 530 c(2.5% = 347) c(97.5% = 793)
42 7:56 AM 534 c(2.5% = 352) c(97.5% = 870)
43 7:56 AM 427 c(2.5% = 255) c(97.5% = 807)
44 7:56 AM 473 c(2.5% = 336) c(97.5% = 654)
45 7:56 AM 560 c(2.5% = 383) c(97.5% = 745)
46 7:56 AM 975 c(2.5% = 686) c(97.5% = 1080)
47 7:56 AM 226 c(2.5% = 174) c(97.5% = 293)
48 7:56 AM 547 c(2.5% = 415) c(97.5% = 674)
49 7:56 AM 788 c(2.5% = 578) c(97.5% = 1065)
50 7:56 AM 1457 c(2.5% = 1031) c(97.5% = 1633)
51 7:56 AM 769 c(2.5% = 570) c(97.5% = 1026)
52 7:56 AM 1144 c(2.5% = 826) c(97.5% = 1310)
53 7:56 AM 552 c(2.5% = 378) c(97.5% = 797)
54 7:56 AM 352 c(2.5% = 222) c(97.5% = 592)
55 7:56 AM 745 c(2.5% = 488) c(97.5% = 1107)
56 7:56 AM 1108 c(2.5% = 744) c(97.5% = 1441)
57 7:56 AM 885 c(2.5% = 608) c(97.5% = 1074)
58 7:56 AM 1439 c(2.5% = 978) c(97.5% = 1782)
59 7:56 AM 854 c(2.5% = 666) c(97.5% = 1039)
60 7:56 AM 699 c(2.5% = 535) c(97.5% = 877)
61 7:56 AM 820 c(2.5% = 641) c(97.5% = 1040)
62 7:56 AM 580 c(2.5% = 379) c(97.5% = 924)
63 7:56 AM 962 c(2.5% = 661) c(97.5% = 1110)
64 7:56 AM 519 c(2.5% = 352) c(97.5% = 723)
65 7:56 AM 765 c(2.5% = 520) c(97.5% = 917)
66 7:56 AM 1493 c(2.5% = 1047) c(97.5% = 1792)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions